Heading into the spring buying market, there are strong trends starting to emerge.
The inventory of homes for sale has increased on a year-over-year basis for eight months in a row. Home price appreciation has continued to grow, although at a slower rate. The homeownership rate has reached heights last seen in 2014, with millennials and Generation X leading the way!
Let’s dive a little deeper into some of the recent reports that have been released and what they mean for the spring buying season!
Sales of existing homes were down for the third consecutive month in January. Some of this can be explained by the natural seasonality that the real estate market experiences every year, and some can be explained even further by a lack of homes available for sale on the market.
For the last eight months, the inventory of homes for sale has been higher when compared to the same month the year before. The challenge in the market is the mismatch of the type of home that is available for sale. First-time homebuyers looking for a starter home are often competing with other buyers to stand out, often outbidding each other.
Lawrence Yun,NAR’s Chief Economist,agrees that the market is still experiencing an inventory shortage.
“In particular,the lower end of the market is experiencing a greater shortage, and more home construction is needed.”
The median home price for homes sold in January was $247,500. This is up 2.8% from January 2018 and marks the 83rdconsecutive month of year-over-year gains. The 2.8% growth in home prices represents the smallest year-over-year change since February 2012 but is a welcome change for buyers who had feared being priced out of the market.
Days on the Market
Properties that sold in January were on the market for an average of 49 days with 38% of homes on the market for less than a month.
Yun is positive about how today’s market conditions will help buyers this spring,
“Existing home sales in January were weak compared to historical norms; however, they are likely to have reached a cyclical low. Moderating home prices combined with gains in household income will boost housing affordability, bringing more buyers to the market in the coming months.”
The nationalPending Home Sales Index(PHSI) rose 4.6% to 103.2 in January from 98.7 in December. An index score of 100 is considered normal. All four major regions of the country experienced gains in January, with the largest increase coming in the South.
“The PHSI is a leading indicator for the housing sector, based on pending sales of existing homes. A sale is listed as pending when the contract has been signed but the transaction has not closed, though the sale usually is finalized within one or two months of signing.”
Increases in the PHSI often predict increases in the level of home sales in the coming months, which is great news for the housing market leading in to spring! Yun had this to say,
“Homebuyers are now returning and taking advantage of lower interest rates, while a boost in inventory is also providing more choices for consumers.”
The housing market in 2019 will require homeowners to list their house at the right price to attract buyers. If interest rates continue to stay low while wages increase, and more inventory comes to market, 2019 could be one of the best years for home sales in recent history.
Author:Lance Whipple PA Phone: 407-494-6030 Dated: March 6th 2019 Views: 475 About Lance: My name is Lance Whipple and I help first-time homebuyers, international investors, “active adults...
My name is Lance Whipple and I help first-time homebuyers, international investors, “active adults” and snowbirds buy and sell homes in Champions Gate, Davenport, Clermont, and Kissimmee Florida. It’s the lifestyle, weather, safety and security of the Disney area that attracted my family here after I retired from the United States Air Force as a Lieutenant Colonel. In 2011 I entered the real estate business in the Four Corners market at its economic bottom and since then I have increased my knowledge and skill by annually improving production and earning certifications and designations such as the Certified International Property Specialist (CIPS), At Home With Diversity (AHWD), Military Relocation Professional (MRP), New Home Co -Broker (NHCB) and Real Estate Digital Marketer (REDM). Over 60% of my transactions now come from referrals and I believe that speaks well for my approach and service. I truly see helping buyers and sellers with difficult decisions and likely the largest financial transaction of their lives as a worthy service. Helping my customers buy a home is a natural extension of my military service--directly related to protecting and assuring the American Dream. Read more here.
Lance Whipple - Realtor®
EXIT Realty Champions
Local Specialty: Four Corners (Davenport, Clermont & Kissimmee)
*Florida License #SL3248262 as Lance Whipple PA
Some Highlights: An emerging trend for some time now has been the dif
"Lance helped us close on a home in 21 days. As a retired military officer I had high expectations for the home buying process in central Florida. Lance helped us locate financing, select a title company, get through the inspection process and utilizing a VA loan meeting our tight deadlines. Lance is bilingual and speaks Spanish fluently which helped us greatly as my wife's first language is Spanish. His local knowledge ensured that we were well informed throughout the purchase process. His extensive understanding of FRPTA provided me the confidence to purchase my home from a foreign investor. He also helped with permit concerns which guaranteed we would have no surprises down the road with our purchase. Lance conducted a market analysis that was a spot on to the value of the home and the appraisal actually was higher than his estimate. If you are moving to central Florida this realtor is the best in the business and if you are a veteran you would be in safe hands working with Lance, who is a retired Air Force Officer, who will look out for your best interest and help you find the home you are looking for. Thank you Lance Whipple for helping us purchase our new home."